Libtards and their logical fallacies

Libtards is portmanteau of two words “Liberal” and “Retards”. The word broadly defines a political species that dominates the opinion making establishment in the country. Even though this species has nothing remotely to do with Liberalism, it still propagates Retarded behavior in the name of liberalism. Liberalism is a political philosophy or worldview founded on ideas of liberty and equality. Liberalism by definition stands for as Wikipedia quotes below

Liberals espouse a wide array of views depending on their understanding of these principles, but generally they support ideas such as free and fair elections, civil rights, freedom of the press, freedom of religion, free trade, and private property

But as I will show below, the species of Libtards don’t truly believe in any of the ideas that are commonly considered liberal by philosophy but their behavior on the other hand can completely be explained by the retarded nature of their thinking.

Let us start with the freedom of religion, Libtards do not really believe in freedom of religion. Their philosophy towards religion is that anything is fine except for Hinduism. In fact, they display maniacal hatred towards Hinduism or anything that is remotely associated with Hinduism. They will not let go of any opportunity to demean and condemn the religion. I personally have no issues with people criticizing Hinduism as long it is logical and sensible. I believe without an intelligent discussion, Hinduism will never be able to progress further. And here in lies the crucial difference between Liberals and Libtards, Liberals criticize the Neanderthalic  practices that some practitioners of Hinduism still follow, which is by all means sensible and understandable, but the ways in which Libtards criticize Hinduism and the logical reasoning they follow demonstrates how completely retarded they are in their thinking process.

Let me illustrate this, recently when the Delhi gang rape had occurred and there were huge protests and demonstrations in Delhi. One of the “Liberals” managed to find a way to criticize Hinduism for being responsible for the gang rape. You may ask how?

The “Liberal” argued that the main reason for the occurrence of the Delhi gang rape and other rape cases in India was solely because of Vivekananda. He/she goes on further and states that it is in fact the masculine pose of Vivekananda that was responsible for all the ills in the society. Yes, I know such reasoning is beyond my understanding or the limited analytical capabilities that my mind possesses.  The argument that one religion is solely responsible for the deterioration of public safety is laughable. Rapes occur everywhere, in all countries with all possible religious followers and also in communist countries where there are no followers of any religion. Surely, it is a law and order problem, the failure of which in the Indian case squarely lies on the present governmental disposition that is ruling us, but Libtards who believe in freedom of religion could not miss an opportunity to demonstrate the same.

Going to the next topic that Libtards are supposed to believe in is freedom of speech. But the Libtards definition of freedom of speech goes something like this “I have all the freedom to criticize any god damn thing in the world, but anyone else criticizing me or my beliefs is either a terrorist, hate monger, etc and should be immediately locked up in Jail.” Let me demonstrate this, one of the leading anchors (so he/she thinks) of one of the prime time English news channels (so they think) doesn’t miss an opportunity to fight for the cause of freedom of speech. Whether it is defending M.F.Hussain, or some of the leading Libtards figures who believe that the nation should either be run by Pakistan or by the communists from china, this leading anchor is in the forefront of the battle for one of the cherished fundamental right.

So what do you think would happen if someone were to criticize her work? The champion of freedom of speech would accept his/her critic’s freedom of speech and would either react by furnishing his/her side of the argument or ignore the whole thing. But NO, this anchor went all the way and brought out a defamation case on a common blogger who dared to criticize his/her handling of 26/11 coverage. The blog post was forcibly removed and the author was forced to tender an apology. And in reality, the entire blog was about shoddy journalism in general, but this anchor took it personally and decided to “champion” the freedom of speech of this commoner.

Now let’s get to free and fair elections, Liberals by philosophy support free and fair elections and respect the mandate of such elections. Though they might criticize the elected government, they would never question the legitimacy of the same. But Libtards in India only believe in free and fair elections when a similar party with Libtardian disposition forms the government. Any other government is treated like an enemy of the state which needs to be removed as first opportunity arises. There are enough evidences in the internet about what I am speaking about, so I will not delve much into the topic. All I will state is that Libtards believe in totalitarianism that masquerades as democratic ones. They would prefer Hitler/ Iranian/ East German elections where the same ruling government is elected time, time and again. No wonder all the communist halves of divided country had the word Democratic attached to it, (this fact was illustrated humorously in Yes minister Watch after 3:20).

Finally coming to last topic, free trade and private property, Libtards do not believe in free markets. The only thing they believe is in Hippy style community based societies, they dream of making India a big NGO where they and similar minded people are in charge. They despise capitalists and entrepreneurs and disdain wealth creation for they are evil and should be eliminated in initial stage itself. The only good thing that wealth can be used for is redistribution, equity and so and so forth. Sadly they don’t realize that without any creation there won’t be any wealth to redistribute. They are also under the misconception that growth and equity are two things that need to be balanced. Their Fundamentals of economics are idiotic to say the least. Except a few, most of them do not understand the basics of commerce, trade and economics work. A regular columnist in one of his article quoted that one of the founder of NGO when asked where the money will come for implementation of the food subsidy bill replied that government can create any amount of money required. This kind of illiteracy combined with need for grandiose schemes has been detrimental to the country. I have in my previous blog, how such hair brained schemes designed by the esteemed members of NAC has resulted in rampant inflation, hurting the salaried class and has made India extremely vulnerable to global headwinds.  They are against industrialization, modernization but keep on speaking about progressiveness of the society. They believe in subsistence economy and government dole outs are the ideal solution for the elevation of poverty. They will oppose development in the name of environment, farmers, tribal and so and so forth without understanding the damage they are doing for the same populace that they are protecting.

I clearly remember, once a prominent writer had written an article describing about the poverty in Orissa and the existence of starvation in the region. The writer than goes on to blames the middle class for not being sympathetic towards such people and condemned their ignorance and apathy towards the same. The article goes on further and ridicules the materialistic life, which the middle class follows, too much interested in their own selfish interests. Interestingly in the next article, the writer writes about her trips to Turkey, Greece on vacation where she enjoyed all the material comforts the world can offer. Surely this hypocrisy at the best, for writing one article doesn’t amount actually helping those people whom you were purporting to help. One cannot claim moral high ground just by condemning others and accusing them of ignorance. It is my belief that the common man is more sympathetic towards the downtrodden in our society then these celebrities who fake their concern and claim moral superiority based on the same.

These celebrities are the same who travel in SUVs everywhere and turn up to run in green marathons and protest felling up of trees, damming of rivers and so on and so forth. They need to practice what they preach and should learn from one of their icons Gandhi about following up with actions rather than speaking endlessly on the same topic. They talk about helping the poor, but have no qualms being associated with people who drunk drive on hapless pedestrians and kill them or who go and hunt wild bucks for fun. The same people are invited for promoting worthy causes while in fact such people should be behind bars. Hypocrisy is the tell tale sign of a Libtard species.

Hence Libtards are never liberal from any perspective but are complete retards from every perspective. They propagate communist, narcissist and anarchistic ideologies in the guise of liberalism. Retards exists in the entire range of political spectrum from right wing extremists to left wing loonies, but these retards are distinctive due to their control over the main stream media and their prominence in setting up agenda for the nation and in the development of “idea of India”.

When you see a Libtard, proceed with care. You will never defeat them in an argument since they do not believe in logical reasoning. They will use circuitous and cyclical arguments to win their case and utilize firepower to establish dominance. They are the believers of Goebbels (though all Libtards hate him) that a lie repeated hundred times becomes the truth.

The only way to defeat a Libtard is to be first aware of the species and next to completely ignore them. Hence it is imperative for every one of us to spread awareness about this vicious species so that we can collectively banish them from the corridors of power. This is the only viable solution for this cancerous problem. Therefore I request each and every one to create awareness so that we can finally end their dominance.

How NREGA won UPA its Second Term

Now ever since UPA won the 2009 elections, A lot of political commentators have speculated on the possible reasons that would have persuaded the electorate to vote them back to power. Everything from Rahul’s new paradigm in politics to matured leadership of Manmohan Singh was perceived to be the main factor behind UPA’s re-election in 2009.But one of the major contributing factor for congress victory that most political observers agreed was NREGA scheme.

In this short post, I try to rationally analyze whether NREGA indeed help UPA in the pro-incumbency wave seen in the election. 2009 national elections was in-fact not a single issue based election and multiple issues interplayed at both regional and local level to effect the outcome of the election. Hence it is very difficult to single out an issue and extract the impact of that issue on the final voting preference of the electorate. Hence it would be very difficult to analyze the impact of NREGA scheme on 2009 elections at India level analytically. Therefore I have tried to take a sample state which ideally would be bereft of any local or regional issue during the 2009 elections.  

Starting from the 28 states in India, we can easily rule out the smaller states of Goa, North East, since electorally they are relatively insignificant. Ideally we would want a state which is a bipolar contest between BJP and Congress (the two national parties, since these would relatively have lesser prominence to local issues). Among the states where there is a straight contest between BJP and congress, Madhya Pradesh stands out. In 2008 assembly elections BJP had just won a 2^nd term to rule the state with near 2/3 majority 143 out of 230 seats.^[1] So BJP was expected to win a majority of the parliamentary seats in 2009.^[2] Most opinion and exit polls predicted a BJP sweep of around 20-25 seats out of the 29 seats in total. But surprisingly Congress managed to win 12 seats with BJP winning 16 seats and BSP the remaining seat.^[3] This was surprising and almost a matched performance by the Congress especially with the fact that the same party had got a thrashing in the assembly elections held just 6 months back.^[1] In the case of the other states where elections were held along with that of Madhya Pradesh in 2008, the results in 2009 parliamentary elections broadly followed the assembly elections results. In Delhi and Rajasthan Congress swept the states with 7/7 and 20/25 seats respectively and in Chhattisgarh BJP won resoundingly 10/11 seats in the state^[4]. Hence when all these states are considered, Madhya Pradesh clearly stands out.

So how was Congress able to win so many seats in Madhya Pradesh? In 2009 elections there were not many dominant local issues that dominated the discussion. Hence it is safe to assume that National issues with local bearings had major role to play. Now the question arises, which ones? Was it the matured leadership of the PM that enabled to the voters to trust Congress or was it Rahul’s magic?.

So when we deep dive into the 2009 results, we can clearly see a pattern that when taken in context explains the underlying factor behind congress better than expected performance.  I was able to procure assembly level voting shares for each of the party in 2009 elections from the election commissioner website. ^[5] I correlated this with the no of blocks in each of the assembly segments designated as Rural or urban by the election commission. By broadly using the share of polling booths classified as Rural vs. Urban and with an assumption that each of the polling booth would cater to nearly equal number of voting population. I was able to approximate the share of Rural and Urban electoral population in each of the assembly segment. Refer the link below for reference.

When the assembly seat population characteristics are correlated with the voting pattern in 2009 elections, a clear trend emerges. Rural segments have voted fairly evenly between Congress and BJP while the urban segments have in majority of the cases voted decisively for the BJP.

The below table illustrates the voting pattern that emerges

Rural Share	INC	BJP	Total Votes cast	Weights	No of assembly segments	BJP	INC	BSP
95-100%	40.1%	39.7%	5551853	29%	63	27	32	4
90-95%	40.4%	41.9%	4303994	22%	52	27	23	2
80-90%	39.8%	43.9%	3891963	20%	47	25	21	1
70-80%	36.8%	46.4%	1624213	8%	20	11	9	0
50-70%	42.7%	47.8%	1378412	7%	16	9	7	0
25-50%	43.3%	43.6%	924128	5%	11	8	3	0
0-25%	40.1%	51.9%	1796309	9%	21	16	5	0
Total	40.2%	43.5%	19470872	100%	230	123	100	7

As we can see from the above table, Congress has in fact performed better than BJP in predominantly rural seats (95-100% share of rural polling booths) with a total vote share of 40.1% against 39.7% of the BJP. In terms of assembly segments, Congress had leads in 32 out of a total of 63 seats with predominance of rural population as against 27 for the BJP. As we go further into urbanized assembly segments we find BJP’s vote share difference vis a vis Congress improving and eventually dominating. At a broad level the Voting share of Congress and BJP in seats with more than 70% rural population stands at ~40% and ~42% respectively. At an assembly seat level this translates into 85 and 90 seats in which the respective parties had leads out of 182 seats in this category. In seats with significant urban population (30-50% of Urban polling booth share), we can clearly see BJP having a significant advantage with ~48% vote share as against ~43% of the Congress. In terms of assembly segments BJP lead in 16 seats as against 9 seats by the Congress out of a total of 25 seats. And finally in Urban majority seats, BJP is the clear winner with whopping 8% lead in vote share with ~49% as against voter share of ~41% for the congress. BJP had leads in 24 of the 32 assembly segments vis a vis 8 for the congress.

Clearly the major reason for the better than expected of the Congress is due to its on par performance in the rural segments of the Madhya Pradesh state. It is here that NREGA comes into picture. NREGA has been reported to have been successfully implemented in Madhya Pradesh. NREGA is rural focused scheme and benefits only the rural population by guaranteeing 100 days of work for eligible adults. The successful implementation would have resulted in the creation of enormous goodwill among its beneficiaries which could have resulted in proportionate impact on the voting trends of the beneficiaries in 2009 elections. We can clearly state that NREGA indeed had a positive impact on the electoral prospect of the UPA government. The on par performance of UPA in rural segments can only be attributed to the NREGA scheme and nothing else, since there existed no anti incumbency against the state government; there were no regional parties and also no significant regional issues that were course of the discussion. And significantly Congress performed equally well across the state with wins coming from both East, West, South and Northern parts of Madhya Pradesh and hence negating the possibility of local cluster level issues or performance linked to pockets of influence of leaders. With the elimination of most of the issues that could have had a broad level impact across the state, clearly NREGA is the only factor left and hence NREGA is the winning factor by elimination.

What will be the implication of this analysis on 2013/14 elections. Rural voters are still significant even if there is a growing clout of urban neo middle class. So even though after the recent protests in Delhi, everyone seems to talking about these new segments, the rural population cannot be ignored. Therefore the politics of handouts and giveaways will still compete in the near future. Also significantly Congress and the UPA have an edge over this segment which always has been the traditional vote constituency of the congress. Even though the electoral impact of the Direct cash scheme is questionable as I have argued in the previous post. Still, the many other schemes of the present regime will create favorable dispensation. But there is also the drought that has affected India in 2012 coupled with stagnation in the Market prices for farmers and the growing input costs of labor and other farm inputs could create adverse opinion. And finally for the BJP and especially Narendra Modi, they have to come up with a credible idea that would entice this voting segment. Development and Industrialization cannot be easily sold to this segment unlike the technology savvy neo middle class. Also for Modi especially communicating his vision to this segment will be the most challenging prospect if he were to promote himself as the PM candidate from the BJP. The way the vision is articulated and communicated is crucial. But the growing reach of Television and Mobile phone connectivity with nearly 25-35% (33.4% at all India level) of the rural population across the states with access to TV and 50-60% (55% at all India level) with access to Telephone network can be the critical enablers for the above communication.

Therefore the analysis clearly indicates the importance of this important electoral segment which no party or PM candidate can ignore or take it for granted and the key to winning 2014 would crucially lie with the party or candidate who can gain significant share of this huge electoral pie. But the crucial challenge will remain in connecting and communicating one’s vision to this key segment.

PS -
For the detailed Data and analysis
Please refer to
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvxmEFR9ZNZKdEdSUDZvNzIwTWlDYXRtZTdPci04anc#gid=1

Lessons from Neville Chamberlain

On January 8^th, two of our Jawans were killed by Pakistan, their bodies were mutilated and one of the Jawan's head was carried back as a trophy. In any Nation, one could expect outrage over this gruesome and brutal act, but not in India. In India, today we see News anchors and so called “intellectuals” lecturing us on how we should not do anything but accept the “situation” and that we should continue with talks. Their argument is as follows, that any action would escalate into a nuclear war between the two nations annihilating both the nations, hence it is prudent for India to continue with the “Peace process” a.k.a Aman ki Asha. This line of reasoning appears to me however highly defeatist in nature and more importantly if pursued would result in dire consequences.

Here, I believe that one should take note of History and especially learn from chapter that has come to define the word appeasement.

“Appeasement is a diplomatic policy aimed at avoiding war by making concessions to an aggressor.” – Wikipedia

In the 1930s France and especially Britain were keen to avoid another World war with Germany at all costs. Hence they went to great extent to appease Hitler in the hope that each time they agree to his demands, he would be satisfied and would eventually result in Peace. So each time Hitler and Nazi Germany indulged undertook aggressive measures, retaliation or retribution from the western powers was not undertaken for the fear that it would result in the escalation of the conflict into a World war. When Hitler annexed Saar region with a force of just 3000 soldiers, a single division of Allied armies would have been enough to stop him. And the ensuing defeat in such a conflict would have led to his removal as the German chancellor. But Britain and France were too afraid of starting a world war. Der Spiegel in an article explains the French and British thinking at the time –

When French Chief of Staff Maurice Gamelin, choosing his words carefully, told the cabinet that a French advance would likely encounter the greatest German resistance, probably leading to war, and that France was not prepared for an offensive campaign, the cabinet members nodded approvingly and decided to leave the next move up to the British. Only if they joined in would the French take an active role, they concluded.

But London wasn't about to play along. If the French were unwilling to make a move, why should Britain send its sons to risk their lives?

But the person who is most associated with the failed appeasement policy is British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain. He is regarded in history as the person who gave up the most to Hitler and who is blamed the most by the general public at large for failing to stand up against Hitler.

Der Speigel again writes

Chamberlain, the conservative product of a family of politicians, was part of a large faction that sought to appease Germany by fulfilling its wishes, provided they appeared legitimate and were not enforced with violence Appeasement was a policy that fed on emotions as well as intellect, at least with Chamberlain. The British prime minister had lost his beloved cousin in World War I. From then on, he advocated the basic principle of all pacifists: Wars have no winners, only losers. The worst-case scenarios being painted by British and French experts played into the hands of those politicians who wanted to avoid war at all costs

Neville Chamberlain was under the perception that he was a great diplomat and that he will be able to deal with Hitler and bring about lasting peace. He believed that Hitler was a gentleman who will hold to his promises. This deranged and delusional belief resulted in the direst of consequences to global turn of events.

Hitler was able to take advantage of this objective of the appeasers to avoid war at all costs. He was able to threaten and annex the sudentan land from Czechoslovakia and finally Czechoslovakia itself. This made him believe that the western powers would tolerate any of his intransigence which finally led to the invasion of Poland on 1^st September 1939 and the start of World War II.

Sadly, had Britain and France acted as early as 1936, World War II could have been prevented and Hitler deposed. But both the western powers were too weary of another global conflict. Hence they were desperately seeking it avoid it. However Britain and France failed to realize that Hitler had no intention of peace. Anyone who had read Mein Kempf could easily realize what Hitler’s true intentions were. But the mirage of achieving lasting peace fooled the leaders of Britain and France into believing that Hitler also sought for peace. They were ready to forget his intransigence and aggressive actions taken, each time hoping that it will be the last and justifying each of Hitler’s action that it is inevitable and starting a conflict for avoiding the same is meaningless.

The surprising fact is that anyone who reads the above account of the policy of appeasement followed by Britain and France can easily observe the eerie similarity with the present appeasement policy followed by Manmohan Singh and the Indian government. Manmohan Singh like Neville Chamberlain believed that he possesses diplomatic skills that would enable him to deal with Pakistan. There is also his unwavering and near delusional belief that he will be able to reform Pakistan and bring about lasting peace between the two nations. Hence every taunt and aggressive maneuver by Pakistan is sidestepped with a faint and timid warning that this will be the last Lakshmana Rekha that Pakistan will cross, in the hope that it will be indeed so.

Teaming with Prime Minister, is a bunch of Media and Government elite, who also believe in their God given destiny to bring about peace with Pakistan in the hope that they could get more Veena Mallik’s to India and have Gala dinners with their Pakistani counterparts. Hence you have initiatives such as “Aman ki Asha” which have so far achieved nothing but some useless debates and discussions and few cricket matches. The so called people to people initiatives are a farce since for such thing to succeed you need more than few cocktail dinners and cricket matches. But that doesn’t prevent media pundits explaining to the Nation why we must continue pursuing talks with Pakistan even after repeated instances of brutality, cowardice and aggression by other side. Their often quoted reason is that “war is not an option” and any tactical retribution would immediately escalate into a nuclear holocaust. This is entirely ridiculous at the least. Though I completely agree that fighting a war with Pakistan is unacceptable, surely there are enough ways to tackle the issue rather than having useless “Aman ki Tamasha” debates.

What Manmohan Singh and Media pundits do not understand from History is that such appeasement policies never work. Pakistan like Hitler doesn’t really want peace with India. Maybe some of the matured and liberal elements do, but the Army who are the actual rulers of Pakistan do not desire peace with India, Hence like the Western powers in the 1930s, all compromises undertaken by India in the hope that it’ll be the last time and that the other side will reform are truly mistaken. It’ll only further strengthen the other side and make them believe that they can get away with anything; In 1939 Hitler was so convinced that Britain and France will do nothing that he decided to invade Poland starting World War II. Similarly, today repeated inaction by the Indian government has bolstered the radical elements in Pakistan that they can continue with their aggressive posturing with India and that all their actions will go unpunished. Like in the case of Nazi Germany, this appeasement policy ironically pushes elements in Pakistan to undertake even more aggressive and bold measures against India. My fear is that a day may come when one of the radicals can explode a nuclear bomb in India pushing both of us to a nuclear conflict. Though this might today seem highly exaggerated, the continuation of the current policy has great probability of leading India to a tragic destiny.

Surely, the solution to this impending crisis is the discontinuation of the present policy which is fraught with so much danger. There are many viable options, not of all of them leading to a nuclear war with Pakistan. In my next article, I’ll try to elaborate on a few of them. And finally Manmohan Singh and Media Pundits need to revisit history and read elaborately about the decade before WWII to understand just how dangerous their present policy of appeasement is. And all of need to get rid of this defeatist mindset that nothing is possible, surely if mankind can find cures to plagues, find ways to travel to the moon and invent and innovate in unimaginable ways, then a solution to “Pakistan Problem” is not a daunting one and which can be found given enough intellect and determination is applied to solving it.

PS - Der Speigel Illustrates by Maps how appeasement policies resulted in German dominance of Europe in the 1940 from a diplomatically and militarily vulnerable position in the beginning of the 1930s